Pick Calculator

Understanding the numbers

Hit rate

Our estimated chance that the selected spread or total wins. The hit rate stays empty until our models have collected enough data.

If the line is right

What the hit rate would be if the posted number were the true line. The hit rate stays empty until our models have collected enough data.

Price

The odds for the selected line. −110 means risking $110 to profit $100. When that rung is not posted, the price is estimated from the main line.

Break-even

The win rate the price needs before the bet is a wash. A −110 price breaks even near 52.4%.

Expected value

The average return if the hit rate is right. It stays blank until a hit rate is on the slider.

Push

The chance the final lands on the number and the stake is returned. A half-point line cannot push.

Player props

A player price. The posted line and price are shown. A hit rate stays blank.