NFL · Week 9 · Nov 5–9, 2026

Week 9 Board

Sides. Totals. Where our number and the market split.

Thursday night is Jacksonville at Baltimore, and it is already final, so we are not on it. Sunday and Monday stay at Med until Saturday. Numbers can still move for injuries, weather, and the close. No likely winner this week.

CAR +3 Top side · Denver −3

Tucker Over 37.5 Top prop · 59 a game

3 sides No total.

1 prop One receiving over

Sides

Three Med sides. A close win is not a reason to lay a bigger number. When the same opponents do not agree, the side stays off.

CAR +3 +5.2 pts Med

Three is the wrong side of a pick

Denver is 6–2. The wins are by 7, 4, 6, 3, 14, and 4. Carolina is 3–4 at home. There is no common opponent. Our number is a pick, and the market is laying 3 on the road. Damien Lewis is out. That is a tax, and the number is still 3. Sunday, so Med.

Sun 1:00 · DEN −3

TB +6 +3.1 pts Med

Six is more than the common games

Tampa Bay is 3–5. Chicago is 6–2. Against Atlanta, Carolina, and Green Bay, Tampa Bay was the better team. Minnesota was a loss by 7 and a loss by 6. Egbuka is questionable. Sunday, so Med.

CIN −3 +2.9 pts Med

The common games are Cincinnati

Cincinnati is 5–2. Atlanta is 3–5. Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay are the common games, and Cincinnati was better in each. Robinson and Branch are out. Madrid, so this is three points and not a home crowd. Sunday, so Med.

Game	When	Market	Fair	Play	Edge	Conf	Open → now
DEN (6-2) at CAR (3-4)	Sun 1:00	DEN −3	CAR −2.2	CAR +3	+5.2	Med	unchanged
TB (3-5) at CHI (6-2)	Sun 8:20	CHI −6	CHI −2.9	TB +6	+3.1	Med	unchanged
CIN (5-2) at ATL (3-5)	Sun 9:30	CIN −3	CIN −5.9	CIN −3	+2.9	Med	unchanged

Thursday night is already final.

Likely Winners

None this week. Straight-up wins, and only when the moneyline is the better price. A team already on the side card stays there.

Totals

No total. If a recent game already blew past the number, the under stays off, even when our number is five points away.

Player props

One receiving over. The usage and the way the game should go have to point the same way.

Tucker Over 37.5 +21.8 yds Med

The targets are ahead of the number

48 targets, 474 yards, 59 a game. He cleared 37.5 in six of eight. Last week was one target for 0. San Francisco allows 224 passing yards. Las Vegas is the team we have trailing, so the over is the script. Sunday, so Med.

Sun 4:25 · LV at SF

Touchdown, kicking, and defensive prices are on the pick calculator. They are not picks.