NFL · Week 8 · Oct 29–Nov 2, 2026
Sides. Totals. Where our number and the market split.
Thursday night is Carolina at Green Bay, and it is already underway, so we are not on it. Sunday and Monday stay at Med until the weekend check. Lines can still move. No likely winner this week.
Two Med sides. A close win is not a reason to lay a bigger number. When two teams had the same result against the same opponent, neither side is on the card.
Minnesota is 6–0. The wins are by 17, 6, 7, 5, 10, and 6. Detroit is 4–2 at home. New Orleans and Green Bay are the common games. Minnesota won those by 10 and 17. Detroit won them by 1 and 3. Aaron Jones is questionable. That supports taking three. It does not support laying the number. Sunday, so Med.
Sun 1:00 · DET −3
Los Angeles is 0–6. The losses are by 12, 12, 8, 7, 6, and 16. Against Arizona, Las Vegas, Buffalo, and Denver, the Rams were the better team. Adams is out, so this is 6.5 and not a blowout. Sunday, so Med.
| Game | When | Market | Fair | Play | Edge | Conf | Open → now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN (6-0) at DET (4-2) | Sun 1:00 | DET −3 | MIN −0.8 | MIN +3 | +3.8 | Med | unchanged |
| LAC (0-6) at LAR (3-4) | Sun 4:05 | LAR −6.5 | LAR −12.1 | LAR −6.5 | +5.6 | Med | unchanged |
Jacksonville’s last two wins are by 5 and 2, so 10 points is too many. The Jets and the Raiders split Miami and New England. Miami is getting 7, and New England won the Las Vegas game by 28 while Miami lost it by 14. The rest of the number is inside two points. Carolina at Green Bay had already kicked off.
None this week. Straight-up wins, and only when the moneyline is the better price. A team already on the side card stays there.
Minnesota and the Rams are already sides. The Jets and the Raiders split Miami and New England, so neither is a likely winner. Las Vegas has lost four straight. Arizona’s spread did not clear, and Kansas City is 1.7 points from the number. Tampa Bay would be laying the price in 17 mph wind with rain in the forecast.
No total. If a recent game already blew past the number, the under stays off, even when our number is five points away.
The rest of the slate is inside two points, or a recent game already went the other way.
One rush over and one receiving under. The usage and the way the game should go have to point the same way.
120 carries, 77 percent of the rushes, 701 yards. That 701 includes a 76-yard run. Denver allows 134 rushing yards. Kansas City is the team we have ahead, so the rush over is the script. Sunday, so Med.
Sun 4:25 · KC at DEN
351 yards on 45 targets. Higgins has 571 on 50. Cincinnati is laying 11.5, so this is the under. Tennessee has one game of 270 or more. Sunday, so Med.
Smith-Njigba is at 124 against 98.5, and Seattle is the team we have ahead, so the over is the wrong call. Goff is at 298 against 262.5, and Minnesota allows 181 passing yards. Murray’s under is off because Detroit has already allowed five 270-yard games. Mayfield’s under is off because Atlanta has allowed five. Bowers and Tucker are the same offense, and the Jets allow 203 passing yards. Touchdown, kicking, and defensive prices are on the pick calculator. They are not picks.